US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
45.0%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
36.0%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
25.0%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
1.0%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
$7,831.351
45.0%
ending in: 6mo
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
$3,561.319
36.0%
ending in: 6mo
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
$698.179
25.0%
ending in: 6mo
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
$733.273
<1%
ending in: 6mo
Rules
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjuste....